The Emerging, Booming, Rising Stories of Africa: Hype or Hope?

Africa rising editorials are widespread
Africa rising editorials are widespread

Over the past few years, Africa and other emerging market economies spurred by the rising middle class, extractive industries dependant on natural resources like oil, and foreign investment have dominated the editorials of financial and economic news and conferences. Different groups incessantly spew out cooler than cool and hotter than hot data about Africa that has such calming fragrance that I ,someone who is often fed up with the negative caricatures about Africa, do welcome. McKinsey reports that African consumer industry is expected to grow by $400 billion by 2020. Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa are among the fastest growing countries in the world; at least six of the world’s top ten fastest growing economies are in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Sometimes, in some places, the statistic appears accurate and real on the surface. I was in Ghana last year. I was amazed at the changes in several sectors of the economy and society. I witnessed an increasing growth of consumption industries in the category of telecommunication, internet services, financial services, high-end grocery, clothing and apparel in the big cities like Accra and Kumasi. Cinema halls are enthusiastically patronized by the so-called middle class with fat wallets and purses. Not bad at all. Really welcome.

Unfortunately, however, as soon as I drove out of the cities into the outskirts of the country, everything I’ve read and heard appeared like hype and not hope. Continue reading “The Emerging, Booming, Rising Stories of Africa: Hype or Hope?”

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Poverty Drops With Secondary Education in Sub-Saharan Africa

by Steve Crabtree and Anita Pugliese

Gallup polls from 2009 to 2011 find sub-Saharan Africans with a secondary education are less likely to live in poverty, stressing the need for universal access to this level of education. Across the 38 countries surveyed, a median of 85% of adults with a primary education or less are living on less than $2 per day (based on household income in international dollars), versus 62% of those with a secondary education. Those with a secondary education are also less likely to say there were times in the past year when they did not have enough money to buy food they or their families needed.

Though many sub-Saharan African countries have made great strides toward achieving universal primary education, access to secondary education remains spotty. There is only enough capacity for 36% of children in the region to enroll in secondary education, according to the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization’s 2011 Global Education Digest. The report states that the rising number of primary school graduates and the need for more sophisticated workers with higher-level skills have increased the demand for secondary education in many sub-Saharan African countries.

Secondary schools are also often important venues for job placement. “[Secondary education] not only links initial education to higher education, but also connects the school system to the labor market,” the report notes. Across the 38 sub-Saharan African countries studied, those with a secondary education are about twice as likely as those with a primary education or less to say they work full time for an employer.

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South Sudan food Security Improves

Prospects for future food security in southern Sudan depend highly on how the post-referendum period evolves.

12 January 2011, Rome/Juba – The number of people in need of food assistance in southern Sudan has decreased markedly – though prospects for food security largely depend on the post-referendum period and the number of people returning to the South, a United Nations report said today.

An assessment by the UN Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) and World Food Programme (WFP) warned that recent gains in food security, especially in states bordering on northern Sudan, such as Upper Nile and Unity, could be reversed by increasing food prices and any escalation of localized conflict.

“The overall food security situation improved markedly in 2010 compared to the previous year largely because of the favourable rains,” said WFP Regional Director for Sudan Amer Daoudi. “That is absolutely no reason for complacency now. More than a million people will still need food assistance and the situation could swiftly deteriorate at this critical time.”

Crop growing conditions were generally good in 2010, the report said. Rainfall started on time in most locations and rainfall levels were normal to above normal and generally well distributed. Despite some localised dry spells and floods, 2010 cereal crop production is estimated at 695 000 tons, nearly 30 percent higher than 2009. This estimate leaves an overall cereal deficit in 2011 of about 291 000 tonnes to be covered by commercial imports and food assistance.

“However, with a forecast of about 400 000 people returning to vote the estimated deficit may increase up to 340 000 tonnes, said FAO economist Mario Zappacosta. “Returnees are expected to further increase the pressure on local food market supplies.”

The report said that in the best-case scenario of a peaceful referendum process in the South, the number of people receiving emergency food assistance would rise gradually this year and was expected to peak at 1.4 million during the start of the lean season from March until August.

Prospects for future food security depended highly on how the referendum that started from 9 January and the post-referendum periods evolve, according to the report.

“Recent gains could easily be reversed due to the following risk factors: increasing food prices due to reduced trade flows and increased demand from returnees, a potential escalation of localized conflicts in the border areas, and potential increases of ethnic and inter-tribal tensions,” FAO/WFP said.

In the event of reduced trade, increased demand, high food prices and increased insecurity in the post-referendum period, the number of people receiving emergency food assistance out of the 2011 projected total population of 9.16 million in southern Sudan could reach 2.7 million at the start of the annual lean or hunger season when the previous harvest runs out.

The FAO/WFP mission estimated that 890 000 people were currently severely food insecure in the South and 2.4 million were moderately food insecure.

It said with uncertainties over the referendum the supply of grains from northern Sudan and to a lesser extent from Uganda and Kenya was expected to decline substantially. Grain stocks were declining in some border areas, leading to increased prices, which would also come under pressure from large numbers of returnees. So far, more than 120,000 people have returned since October and up to 250,000 are expected to have arrived by early February.

(FAO)

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Globalization And The Development of Africa

The Oxford Advanced Learners Dictionary 6th Edition defines the word global as a phenomenon that includes many parts. Moving a step further from this definition, globalization could be described as a concept or phenomenon that includes all parts of the world and also operates around the world; hence the whole world is looked upon as a single community that is connected by electronic communication systems to form a global village.

Globalization goes a step further from these concepts; it also implies and provides the building blocks for the emergence of a homogenous world culture. It is often referred to as the new world order.

It must, however, be argued that globalization as a concept originated from the more developed western countries, as they argued that the economic backwardness of the world in general and the developing countries in particular was a product of the isolation of the developing countries from the world economy. This ” backwardness” it was argued could easily be remedied by greater global economic and cultural integration.

The motives for global integration [globalization] includes

  • The enhanced efficiency in production made possible by increased specialization in accordance with the law of comparative advantage.
  • Increased production levels due to better exploitation of economies of scale made possible by the increased size of the market.
  • An improved international bargaining position made possible by the larger size, leading to better terms of trade
  • Enforced changes in economic efficiency brought about by enhanced competition.
  • Changes affecting both the amount and quality of the factors of production due to technological advances.

Whatever its political connotations, globalization, fundamentally, is an economic phenomenon. Desire becomes demand only with the addition of purchasing power; this is true of countries as well as individuals. These economic realities enable countries to pursue their political policies of self interest with varying degrees of success.

Hence, in this discourse, I shall consider the economic and political dimensions of globalization with all other considerations indirect or subordinate to these dimensions.

Globalization and the development of Africa:

The inequality of nations challenges the theory of globalization as a world system; it is common knowledge that African countries fall within the category of countries regarded as underdeveloped. If we examine the structure of an underdeveloped economy, typically such an economy is an importer of capital and technology as well as consumer goods from the developed world.  These imported capital and technology play a crucial role in its development.

Domestic substitution for foreign capital and foreign technical know-how is a very costly affair often indeed impossible. This is true whether we think of replication or genuine substitution allowing for the different needs of a poorer country. For most African countries, the export sector is the leading sector which sets the pace for development and shapes the rest of the economy, both the pattern and pace of growth. Typically, size by size, the poorer a country, the more dependent it is on foreign markets, and foreign sources of supply. If the export sector stagnates, so that the inflow of resources from abroad is constrained, the pace of growth and rate of structural change respond accordingly. These factors are highly sensitive to such decline in the availability of foreign resources.

The terms on which the developing countries can obtain foreign exchange, capital and technology reflect the relationship between the rich and poor countries in the world economy.

In the face of the existing distribution of economic power, it is the rich countries who determine the terms, because in the short run, the developing countries in Africa need the products and services of the developed countries much more than the latter needs the output of the former.

Recent statistics obtained have in fact confirmed that Africa’s share in the total world trade is just about 1%.  This can be appreciated if we take a look at the international commodity and markets factors, African countries are mainly price takers until very recent trade negotiations and trade policy formulations .This dependence of African countries on developed countries/western countries has far reaching consequences for the development prospects of the former. The existence of such great disparities and one-sided dependence has placed a moral question on the concept of globalization.

Poverty in African countries also reflects essentially the technological gap between them and the rich countries. Even the oil-rich countries are no exceptions in this regard. This results in the developing countries inability to produce by themselves goods which require modern technical know-how and even less to develop an alternative technology substitute.

The trade patterns of African countries show that they usually export crude or processed agriculture or mineral based products. These countries have not succeeded in adapting or replicating for their own countries the technological development that have occurred in the rich countries. This is another fact that we are confronted with that has tended to negate the principle of globalization vis a vis the development of Africa.  Although ,the division of the world into developed and underdeveloped countries is an oversimplification ,vast differences in natural endowment ,economic conditions, cultural heritage, social organizations and political traditions are factors that have also tended to broaden the inequalities that exist between the developed countries and Africa in particular ,hence globalization has exacerbated “global poverty” particularly in these African countries

The difference in the material conditions of people living in various parts of the world is reflected graphically in two socio-economic indicators the rate of national literacy and the per capita energy consumption rate. Together these two indices provide a telling measure of sophistication of the production structure of a nation, and they are much significant than indicators based on the sectoral origin of gross domestic product [GDP}.

Literacy in African countries is considerably lower than that in developed/western societies as is per capita energy consumption. This structural characteristic of the economy reflects the inability of African countries to exploit their economic potential and also to enjoy the so called “benefits of globalization”

In fact, about 40 African countries fall within the purview of the poorest countries in the world. The global economic turmoil of recent years has affected developing countries with particular severity. In Africa, the free working of market forces in no way enables countries to counterview the constraints of globalization and multinational capital. The proponents of globalization must recognize that only global redistribution can ensure the development of Africa and that the developing world’s primary needs are far more social rather than private capital accumulation, which globalization entails.

Another dimension to the issue of globalization vis a vis the development of Africa is the activities[s] of multinational companies [MNCs]. These MNCs are agents of developed nations who are advocating a greater role for the free play of market forces without due regard to social factors within these African nations. As a result of these factors, Africa stands the risk of distorted development.

The calamities which this “new world order” is visiting on billions of people around the globe, particularly African nations cannot be quantified. As a matter of fact, globalization has led to a situation whereby the top 20% of humanity now controls 84% of the world’s wealth, while the bottom 20% makes do with a shade of over 1% of the world’s wealth.

The danger in which “wholesale” globalization portends for African countries and their development has been elucidated by Susan George, a Harvard trained economist, in the Lugarno Report [2003]. By the way, Lugano is a town located in Switzerland and sometime in 2003, a group of intellectuals [drawn from all continents in the world] gathered in the resort town to brainstorm about the world’s problems. They came out with what is now referred to as the Lugano report in which they documented the “evils” of globalization vis a vis the developing nations and particularly Africa in which they summarized that the main beneficiaries of globalization are its proponents and the more developed capitalist /Western nations, and that in order to sustain it through the next century and beyond, a sustained strategy needs to be vigorously pursued and implemented.

These has already started: it includes the reduction of population in African countries through the Population Reduction Strategy[PRS], which includes the promotion of genocidal conflicts, and wars, the curtailment of humanitarian assistance to victims of hunger, famine, epidemics and other natural and unnatural tragedies. The purging of the UN of notions like human rights, and equality of nations, the systematic degradation of the quality of foods and medicine sent to 3rd world countries, etc.

In conclusion, it is imperative to remind those who control and direct the free market globalization, that what Africa really needs for development is GLOBAL REDISTRIBUTION, and not this presently skewed globalization.  It is this global redistribution that can bring about greater global peace and security. To African nations, I recommend to them a renaissance or better still African Renaissance as the development of Africa does not lie in the hands of anybody but Africans themselves

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There’s A Lot More To Africa Than Famine And War

Clement Afforo

Recently I was flipping between several of the major TV news networks who were reporting a variety of stories about Africa. All were focusing exclusively on war and famine.

Come to think of it, that’s about all you ever see the major networks say about Africa. They rarely if ever report on African sporting events, positive government activities, or even normal African life.

Anyone who thinks about this predicament for even a moment would realize Africa is a huge continent made up of a wide variety of countries, regions, and peoples. Africa is about as diverse a place as you could ever imagine. While some areas are sadly embroiled in horrific problems, other regions are peaceful, pleasant, and offer their citizens a very rich life.

One thing most Americans never have the opportunity to learn about is Africa’s wide offering of quality TV programs. Watching African TV can be a real eye-opener. They include soaps and dramatic series, side-splitting comedies, and a wide range of news and sports coverage.

Realize that these programs reflect the values, sensibilities, and every day experiences of people who live in Africa. If you have little experience with African culture, watching these programs can really teach you about this fascinating part of the world. You’ll gain insights into a side of the world you may not have known existed.

Thanks largely to a growing number of African immigrants in the United States who want to see the programs they watched in Africa, African-produced programs are finding their way to cable TV channels here. On any given evening you can watch popular series like “Things We Do For Love,” “Sun City,” and the hit comedy “Taxi Driver.”

Recently, the African TV Network I founded several years ago announced plans to expand program offerings to cable channels in the Baltimore and Washington DC areas. This will make African programming available to large audiences of African immigrants, African-Americans, Caribean communities, and others who are eager to have access to these programs.

As with any new TV programming that appeals to a previously neglected audience, African programming lets advertisers reach a very large and active viewing audience that was not available before with standard TV programming. African programming is a win-win for both viewers and businesses.

Clement Afforo is founder of the African TV Network, now supplying African programs to the Baltimore and Washington DC areas. For more information on programs and advertising opportunities, see the site http://www.africantvnetwork.com.
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Swelling Cities

Nairobi, Kenya

The number of people living in African cities will triple over the next 40 years and by 2050 60% of Africans will be city dwellers, a UN report has said.

In five years Lagos in Nigeria is set to overtake the Egyptian capital Cairo as Africa’s biggest city.

Some 199.5 million people in sub-Saharan Africa live in slums, the highest number in the world, the UN said earlier this year.

According to UN-Habitat’s State of African Cities 2010 report, urbanisation is happening faster in Africa than anywhere else in the world.

By 2030 the continent will no longer be predominately rural, it says.

Mr Clos, UN-Habitat’s executive director, said that cities were attractive places for those wanting to relocate.

In 2015 it is estimated Lagos will have 12.4 million inhabitants.

The UN also forecasts that the population of Kinshasa, the capital of the Democratic Republic of Congo, will increase by 46% over the next 10 years to become the fast-growing city.

By 2050, Africa’s population is expected to reach 1.23 billion.

The report warns that climate change is causing a serious problem for some cities.

With many of Africa’s cities built by the sea, millions of people risk losing their homes in the coming decades because of coastal flooding.

It says the West African coastline is retreating by between 20m and 30m every year.

African Cities key facts (UN-Habitat)
  • Lagos to be Africa’s largest city in 2015 with 12.4 million inhabitants
  • Kinshasa to overtake as biggest city in 2020
  • Ouagadougou’s population is set grow by 81%, from 1.9 million in 2010 to 3.4 million in 2020
  • Africa’s population will be 1.23 billion by 2050
  • 60% of all Africans will be living in cities in 2050
  • Slum dwellers in Egypt, Libya, Morocco and Tunisia fell from 20.8 million in 1990 to 11.8 million in 2010
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Africa’s youth can do great things, says UN Chief

African graduate leaving the continent for greener pastures

Africa’s young population can drive the continent’s future development, Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon told an international symposium taking place in Benin.

More than 60 per cent of Africa’s 1 billion people are under the age of 25 years, he noted in a message to the meeting in Cotonou.

“While it will be a tremendous undertaking to provide them with jobs and income opportunities, this energetic creative and vibrant workforce can do great things for African standards of living if only they are given the tools.

“Africa’s impressive economic growth during the past decade shows what is possible. The challenge now is to translate growth into improved social welfare for the people and faster progress towards the Millennium Development Goals,” Mr. Ban said, referring to the targets to slash hunger, poverty, disease and a host of other social and economic ills by 2015.

The other challengeWe can end povertys the Secretary-General outlined for the continent to address included climate change, desertification and democratic backsliding, as well as continued armed conflict and sexual violence against women.

At the same time, he praised the achievements of African countries since their independence from colonial rule, with particular tribute paid to the African Union (AU), and the efforts it has made to improve the political and economic situation in the continent.

“Africa has taken charge of preventing and resolving its conflicts and promoting the economic and social development of its people,” he said.

Through African institutions, such as the AU, the continent had become less reliant on the international community for aid and support, Mr. Ban noted, while adding that the UN will continue to support Africa’s efforts to ensure stability and progress.

(United Nations)

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Africa can reach development targets if given a push-Migiro

Africa, with its immense human and material wealth, can achieve the globally agreed development targets world leaders have pledged to achieve by 2015, Deputy Secretary-General Asha-Rose Migiro told United Nations agencies working on the continent, while also stressing the need for strong support from the international community.

Deputy Secretary-General Asha-Rose Migiro

“The continent’s people need neither pity nor charity, but rather the tools, institutions, stability and freedoms to create incomes and jobs,” Ms. Migiro stated in her remarks to the Regional Coordination Mechanism meeting held yesterday in Addis Ababa.

“International solidarity and a level playing field – especially in global trade – will go a long way toward helping the continent realize its noble objectives for its people, its prosperity and its stability,” she told the meeting, which seeks to ensure that various UN departments and agencies work more effectively together in the region.

She noted that the broad impacts of climate change and the multiple crises, including those related to finance, food and energy, continue to hamper development efforts in Africa and threaten to scale back hard-won development gains.

In spite of these challenging trends, Africa’s economic performance rebounded and has remained steadfast, with growth projected to be 4.8 per cent in 2010, driven mainly by recovery in mineral exports, official development assistance (ODA) inflows, strong government expenditure on infrastructure development, and remittances.

In September, world leaders meeting in New York noted the remarkable achievements that have been made, especially in terms of reducing poverty and expanding education and access to clean water, just some of the anti-poverty targets known as the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).

They sent a clear message, said Ms. Migiro: “If we step up our efforts, the MDGs remain achievable by 2015, including in the least developed countries.

“However, the Summit also stressed that more concerted efforts are needed, particularly in Africa,” she pointed out, adding that the September summit’s outcome document set out some of the key challenges.

These include addressing climate change, reducing inequalities, advancing the well-being of vulnerable groups, and continuing to implement the global action plan for the least developed countries (LDCs), 33 of which are in Africa.

Addis Ababa is the last stop on the Deputy Secretary-General’s current three-nation trip, which also included visits to Lebanon and Laos.

(UN Release)

 

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